Site Seers
THE
FOLLOWING ARTICLE IS A 5000 WORD WALL STREET JOURNAL
FEATURED COVER STORY.

Site
Seers: For Thriving Dot-Com, One Hot Market Isn't
What It Brags About --- Keen Has Experts to Counsel
On Any Topic, but Clients Click Heavily on Psychics
--- Some Calls Are Inside Jobs
By
Suein L. Hwang Staff Reporter of The Wall Street
Journal
article:06/12/2001
The Wall Street Journal A1 (Copyright (c) 2001,
Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)
SAN
FRANCISCO -- Among the few dot-com survivors,
Keen Inc. is a standout. It runs a Web site listing
thousands of people who give paid advice, over
the phone, to people who click on their names.
Portraying itself as a marketplace of advisers
on a wide range of mainstream topics, Keen boasts
heady sales growth, blue-chip backers and plenty
of cash.
But
Keen doesn't boast about one secret to its success:
customers such as Dawn Simpson, a San Antonio
legal administrator who went to the site not for
advice on taxes or gardening or law, but to divine
her future.
When
her life hit bottom after her live-in boyfriend
left and she miscarried their child, Ms. Simpson
spent hours on the telephone talking to psychics
listed on Keen's Web site. They kept predicting
her guy would come back. But the only thing that
came to Ms. Simpson was $3,000 in credit-card
bills for the calls.
The
psychics "knew what I wanted to hear," Ms. Simpson
says. "I even told them I don't have this money,
and they'd say, `Don't you want happiness in your
life?' "
Keen
-- with pedigreed investors such as Benchmark
Capital and Microsoft, glowing press clippings
and vocal fans on Wall Street -- is among the
last remaining hot Internet start-ups. "This is
one of the few that will emerge from the rubble
as a legitimate and successful business," says
Andrea Rice of Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown, which
invested in the firm. At least until recently,
Keen was calling itself the fastest-growing e-commerce
business in U.S. history.
Keen
says its membership ranks have swelled to more
than 3.5 million from two million in mid-February.
While Keen doesn't disclose revenue, executives
have said they expect the company to be profitable
by early next year, and they have plenty of cash
to get them there. Keen has its sights set on
an initial public offering.
"To
find sound advice and reliable information, consumers
want to speak to someone they trust," explains
the corporate-background page on Keen's Web site.
It describes Keen as a "resource for connecting
people who want to give or receive live, immediate
advice on everything from computer help to dieting,
tax questions to personal issues, romance to nutrition."
But
Keen's recipe for success may be much simpler,
offering a revealing clue to what it really takes
to succeed on the Internet. ComScore Networks
Inc., which tracks online consumer behavior, says
89% of calls made to Keen's advisers in December
and January were to psychics, and 6% were to categories
that include sexual come-ons. NetRatings Inc.,
another research outfit, says Keen's household
demographics and advertising patterns veer toward
lower-income consumers. "Based on what they're
saying to people, I would have assumed their customers
are clicking on areas like how to repair a wallet
or grill a salmon," says Sean Kaldor, a NetRatings
executive. "That isn't where things are going."
Last
year Keen acquired 800predict, a Web site for
psychics, and began listing them on its own site.
It didn't announce the acquisition. Keen says
it was too insignificant to publicize.
Also
last year, Keen hired a provider of adult Web
sites called Teleteria
Inc. Keen was "very clear they didn't want
any press about the phone-sex portion of their
business," says Teleteria's
president, Jay Servidio.
Keen's
chief executive, Karl Jacob, denies that the company
focuses on psychics or sex, or that it has tried
to mask its sources of revenue. He says ComScore's
numbers aren't accurate. Keen, he says, is focused
on industries such as information services, consulting
and financial planning.
Keen's
roots go back to March of 1999, when a young Yale
graduate named Scott Faber watched his New York
taxi driver chat on his cellphone and had a bright
idea: He could create an eBay for human capital,
he thought, where the buyers and sellers could
use the phone to trade information.
By
August, Mr. Faber was in California talking to
Benchmark, the firm that made its name by backing
eBay. Benchmark took the idea from there, in classic
Silicon Valley start-up style: putting in some
money, tapping its network of technology investors,
lining up board members and getting the story
out to the news media.
The
first step was to link Mr. Faber with Mr. Jacob,
a Benchmark "entrepreneur-in-residence" looking
for his next project. A former executive of Microsoft
Corp. who had sold it his software start-up, Mr.
Jacob was a quintessential Silicon Valley fast-tracker,
driving a Dodge Viper and racing sailboats. By
November 1999, its Web site was up. Just a few
weeks later, Keen announced that it had raised
$60 million.
The
site listed self-registered experts known as "KeenSpeakers,"
usually under pseudonyms, and showed a per-minute
charge for talking to each. A customer who wanted
some advice would register with Keen, then click
on a speaker. Keen's technology would connect
them by telephone -- leaving both sides anonymous
-- and start charging the caller's account, with
Keen taking 30% of the fee.
Keen's
executives and Benchmark decided to let advice-givers
list themselves freely. "We wanted to position
ourselves to be open to anything and anyone,"
like eBay Inc., says Dustin Sellers, Keen's head
of customer acquisition. Big names invested, including
eBay, Paul Allen's Vulcan Ventures, Inktomi Corp.,
Integral Capital Partners and Cnet Networks Inc.
At
first, Keen targeted Web-savvy young people, advertising
on "Friends" and "The X-Files." Mr. Jacob tapped
his media contacts, talking in interviews about
the doctors and software engineers who offered
advice via Keen. National publications and shows
including Fortune, BusinessWeek, CNBC and The
Wall Street Journal picked up the theme, calling
Keen a "cool company," an "up-and-comer" or "one
to watch."
"Keen
has been pretty consistent in presenting the image
of kind of a homogeneous platform for this exchange
of information, and I guess the media has listened
to that message," says Jeff Skoll, a Keen board
member and eBay co-founder.
But
employees found it wasn't easy to get people to
pay for travel, business or career advice from
anonymous strangers. "The early adopters were
usually people who already had experience talking
to people on the phone and looking for advice,
like astrology and psychics," says a former Keen
marketing employee. "The problem is getting [other]
people to really see the value."
When
funding for consumer Web sites started growing
scarce about a year ago, former Keen employees
say, Keen went after "the low-hanging fruit."
It acquired 800predict in June 2000, adding its
psychics to the Keen stable.
Neither
Keen's Web site nor 800predict's site mentions
the acquisition. Some former Keen employees say
top executives told them that if they were asked
about 800predict, they should describe the relationship
as a partnership, not an acquisition. Mr. Jacob
denies that and says Keen didn't hide the purchase.
In
the summer of 2000, Keen sent potential investors
projections of revenue growth. "We set numbers
out there and beat them, every time," Mr. Jacob
says. In October, as some dot-coms were folding,
Keen raised $42 million from investors to push
its total above $100 million.
Some
former employees say Keen turned its own workers
into a captive market, frequently asking them
to call certain parts of its own site. For instance,
one KeenSpeaker offered callers taped instructions
on how to make squirrel pie, a piece of advice
that ended up in a Fortune magazine article about
Keen. The Web site shows that 15 callers have
offered an evaluation of that advice-giver under
the site's feedback system. But former workers
say that at least eight of the 15 were actually
Keen employees, their screen names show. One was
Mr. Sellers. Another, they say, was Mr. Jacob.
Keen's
eighth-highest-ranked expert in the travel and
recreation category is "Dusty Road." But Dusty
Road is a screen name of Keen's Mr. Sellers. Of
the nine pieces of feedback Dusty Road has received,
former employees say two are from Mr. Jacob, one
is from a brother of the CEO and one is from "kellynice,"
the name of Keen's advertising agency. Citing
its privacy policy, Keen declined to verify the
identities of the postings.
Mr.
Jacob says staff calls to the squirrel-pie KeenSpeaker
merely reflect curiosity. He doesn't think evaluations
by anonymous Keen employees are misleading, asking,
"Is their feedback any less valid than yours?"
And they couldn't skew the site's overall numbers,
he says, because the staff numbers only about
150. Some ex-employees say that while they were
asked to make calls in part to check on speaker
quality, they suspect it was also to prevent rarely
called speakers from dropping out.
Speaker
listings show that the top five psychics on the
Web site have drawn 15 times as many calls as
the top five computer experts. Mr. Skoll, the
director, says that "certainly more than half"
of Keen's business is "in romance and astrology."
Keen
is talking about expanding its ties to Linda Georgian,
a KeenSpeaker who was co-host with Dionne Warwick
of a Psychic Friends Network infomercial once
common on cable TV. "They'd be my [public-relations]
representative and book me on shows" such as Howard
Stern, Ricki Lake and Jerry Springer, Ms. Georgian
says. Keen says it offers such support to any
KeenSpeaker.
Mr.
Jacob was asked about psychics in February, and
said that Keen was just as strong in the health,
computers and business categories as in psychics.
Asked again last month, he said the company didn't
wish to reveal its business breakdown.
He
did identify categories in which revenue is growing
fastest. They are money and career, business,
and health and therapy, he said. He noted that
"calls aren't the same thing as revenue."
Ms.
Simpson's calls represented revenue. Recalling
the events of late last year -- her boyfriend's
departure and her miscarriage -- the San Antonio
woman says she was "losing my mind, losing my
hair. I started drinking all the time." She began
calling Keen's psychics repeatedly, at prices
sometimes above $4 a minute.
"They
kept telling me that `he loves you, loves you
so much, he'll come back to you,' " she recalls.
"It was like an addiction, filling my head with
all this stuff." One psychic, she says, insisted
she stay on the line for an hour while the psychic
burned a candle. It cost her $350.
Finally,
one psychic e-mailed her, suggesting she stop
wasting her money and get on with her life. She
says she complained to Keen about all the bad
advice from psychics and the money it cost her,
and Keen knocked a couple of hundred dollars off
her bill. "They told me I knew what I was getting
into, that this is just for amusement," she says.
Some
KeenSpeakers fret about vulnerable customers.
"I see so many people call with the last penny
in their hand, people who spend their grocery
money, their mortgage money, calling a psychic,"
says "bimmyj," a former food-service manager who
offers counseling on Keen. Most KeenSpeakers don't
want the public to know their real names.
"DeepWater,"
a psychic, says some callers are struggling with
loneliness, abuse, poverty or depression. "I see
people come in with serious problems and lose
thousands -- I mean thousands -- of dollars,"
he says, asking not to be identified because of
his day job in financial services.
Gail
Summer, president of the American Association
of Professional Psychics, says she rejected a
request by Keen to encourage its members to become
KeenSpeakers. She says the problems starting to
bedevil the Web site are "just a mirror of what
happened in the 900 [phone] industry. First it
was a core group of psychics who were very responsible
and truly believed they were serving. Then the
big marketing companies got involved in the game,
and they didn't care who answered the phone as
long the caller was on the line long enough."
Mr.
Jacob denies that Keen has such problems. He says
he isn't familiar with Ms. Simpson's case. He
says Keen's system of letting callers rate speakers
should flush out any problems.
Keen
recently advertised in supermarket tabloids, highlighting
a new toll-free telephone number. It gives Keen
access to people who don't have Internet access.
"Love him or leave him?" reads a large color ad
in Star magazine. "Is he the one? Talk to someone
who knows! Keen has the largest selection of the
world's best psychics, tarot readers and spiritual
advisers."
Most
of Keen's online advertising promotes psychic
readings and runs on sites targeting women, according
to a partnership between NetRatings, Nielsen Media
Research and ACNielsen.
Nielsen//NetRatings
says Keen users are more likely to have incomes
below $25,000, to have just a grammar-school education,
and to be African-American than are visitors to
the average Web site. KeenSpeakers say the site
attracts a significant number of black women,
a traditionally big segment of the psychic-call
market. "They're definitely focused on relationships
and psychics," says NetRatings' Mr. Kaldor.
Mr.
Jacob says Keen doesn't target African-Americans,
lower-income people or the less-educated. In fact,
its customers are more likely to have graduated
from high school or college than the general population,
he says. Advertising in the tabloids is just a
"small part" of Keen's promotion, he adds.
As
for sex calls, ComScore, which confidentially
monitors the Internet behavior of more than 1.5
million volunteers, found such traffic not just
in Keen's restricted "adults only" area but also
in its "romance and social" category. That category's
top-rated speaker until recent days was "Liz69,"
who calls herself an "Experienced, Gorgeous, Sexy
Female!" A woman named Amanda Lewis, who was listed
until recently in the romance and social category
as "ahotsexychick," said she offered phone sex
and had received thousands of calls.
Some
Keen employees say they were surprised to be presented
with a contract that read in part: "I understand
and agree that my job responsibilities at Keen.com
may require me to access, review, and/or monitor
material that is sexually explicit or of a sexual
nature (`Adult Only Material')."
In
a February interview, Mr. Jacob said Keen had
never been much interested in the sex category.
"We have a community, and that isn't the way we
want to make our money," he said.
Mr.
Servidio of Teleteria,
the adult-Web-site provider, says Keen executives
approached him last year and "said they wanted
to be connected with someone who knows the [900-number]
business, who knows everybody, and who wouldn't
get them in any lawsuits." He says that he "brought
the biggest players from the phone-sex industry
in the world to Keen."
He
cites Videosecrets, a big provider of live adult
entertainment to the Web. Online customers already
could watch and chat with its models. Now they
can also talk to them on the phone using Keen's
technology. The Keen site shows Videosecrets has
received 7,400 calls over the past year.
Mr.
Jacob says adult content provides less than 5%
of Keen's revenue. He says the point of Keen's
relationship with Mr. Servidio was simply "to
understand the adult industry and policies to
determine how to deal with adult on Keen" -- just
as Keen tries to "understand the pitfalls of other
industries." Keen and Mr. Servidio are at odds
over the continuation of his services.
Mainstream
sides of the business are growing quickly, says
Mr. Skoll, the board member. "I think Keen stepped
into a situation where the markets that were most
opportune for using this kind of system were things
like 900 numbers," the eBay veteran says. But
Keen management "really sees this as a platform
for helping people exchange information for all
sorts of things. And over time, they're not limiting
themselves to romance and astrology."
Keen
says its latest offering, providing technical
support on Microsoft Office XP software, has been
one of many recent hits. "With the right momentum,
the right growth," Mr. Jacob said in February,
"a company will break the IPO blockade. It would
be great to be the company to do that."